JEL Classification G13 "Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing"These are all the papers that have a JEL assignment (not all authors have given JEL codes to their papers) and that include the G13 classification. (sorted by date) A Unified Framework for Pricing Credit and Equity Derivatives by Erhan Bayraktar of the University of Michigan, and Bo Yang of the University of Michigan (504K PDF) -- 27 pages -- April 21, 2008 A Comparative Analysis of CDO Pricing Models by Xavier Burtschell of BNP-Paribas, Jon Gregory of Barclays Capital, and Jean-Paul Laurent of Université de Lyon & BNP-Paribas (243K PDF) -- 26 pages -- April 21, 2008 Hedging Default Risks of CDOs in Markovian Contagion Models by Jean-Paul Laurent of the University of Lyon & BNP Paribas Areski Cousin of the University of Lyon, and Jean-David Fermanian of BNP Paribas (220K PDF) –- 31 pages -- April 8, 2008 Multiscale Intensity Models and Name Grouping for Valuation of Multi-Name Credit Derivatives by Evan Papageorgiou of Princeton University, and Ronnie Sircar of Princeton University (378K PDF) -- 29 pages -- March 3, 2008 Dynamic Pricing of Synthetic Collateralized Debt Obligations by Robert Lamb of Imperial College, William Perraudin of Imperial College, and Astrid van Landschoot of Standard & Poor's (217K PDF) -- 24 pages -- March 2008 The Static Hedging of CDO Tranche Correlation Risk by Michael B. Walker of the University of Toronto (161K PDF) -- 15 pages -- February 5, 2008 CDO Pricing with Nested Archimedean Copulas by Marius Hofert of the Universität Ulm, and Matthias Scherer of Technische Universität München (613K PDF) -- 26 pages -- January 24, 2008 Linking Credit Risk Premia to the Equity Premium by Tobias Berg of the Technische Universität München, and Christoph Kaserer of the Technische Universität München (437K PDF) -- 36 pages -- January 6, 2008 Risk Premia in Structured Credit Derivatives by Andreas Eckner of Stanford University (377K PDF) –- 49 pages -- January 5, 2008 Arbitrage-free Pricing of Credit Index Options: The no-armageddon pricing measure and the role of correlation after the subprime crisis by Massimo Morini of Banca IMI & Bocconi University, and Damiano Brigo of Fitch Solutions (295K PDF) -- 25 pages -- December 2007 A Value at Risk Analysis of Credit Default Swaps by Burkhart Raunig of the Austrian Central Bank, and Martin Scheicher of the European Central Bank (1,565K PDF) -- 26 pages -- December 2007 Default Contagion in Large Homogeneous Portfolios by Alexander Herbertsson of Göteborg University (1,512K PDF) -- 24 pages -- November 10, 2007 An Exact Formula for Default Swaptions Pricing in the SSRJD Stochastic Intensity Model by Damiano Brigo of Q-SCI, DerivativeFitch, and Naoufel El-Bachir of University of Reading (315K PDF) -- 18 pages -- November 8, 2007 Flexing the Default Barrier by Gregor Dorfleitner of the University of Regensburg, Paul Schneider of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, and Tanja Veža of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration (7,397K PDF) -- 26 pages -- November 7, 2007 Dynamic Copulas: Applications to finance and economics by Daniel TOTOUOM TANGHO of École des Mines de Paris (3,209K PDF) -- 158 pages -- November 6, 2007 Credit Spreads on Corporate Bonds and the Macroeconomy in Japan by Kiyotaka Nakashima of Kyoto Gakuen University, and Makoto Saito of Hitotsubashi University (535K PDF) -- 39 pages -- November 2007 Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification by Samuel G. Hanson of Harvard University, M. Hashem Pesaran of the University of Cambridge & USC, and Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Wharton Financial Institutions Center (527K PDF) -- 46 pages -- November 2007 Determinants of Sovereign Risk: Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Pricing of Sovereign Debt by Jens Hilscher of Brandeis University, and Yves Nosbusch of the London School of Economics (504K PDF) -- 45 pages -- November 2007 The Effects of Default Correlation on Corporate Bond Credit Spreads by Bill Bobey of the University of Toronto (520K PDF) -- 56 pages -- November 2007 Advanced Credit Portfolio Modeling and CDO Pricing by Ernst Eberlein of the University of Freiburg, Rüdiger Frey of the University of Leipzig, and Ernst August von Hammerstein of the University of Freiburg (329K PDF) -- 27 pages -- September 14, 2007 Comparison Results for Credit Risk Portfolios by Areski Cousin of the University of Lyon, and Jean-Paul Laurent of the University of Lyon & BNP Paribas (318K PDF) -- 23 pages -- September 11, 2007 Lévy Base Correlation by João Garcia of Dexia Group, Serge Goossens of Dexia Bank, Viktoriya Masol of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven & EURANDOM, and Wim Schoutens of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (175K PDF) -- 15 pages -- September 4, 2007 Simultaneous Calibration to a Range of Portfolio Credit Derivatives with a Discrete-Time Multi-Step Markov Loss Model by Michael Walker of the University of Toronto (225K PDF) -– 26 pages -- August 29, 2007 Decomposing Swap Spreads by Peter Feldhütter of the Copenhagen Business School, and David Lando of the Copenhagen Business School and Princeton University (498K PDF) –- 58 pages -- August 24, 2007 Break on Through to the Single Side by Dilip Madan of the University of Maryland, and Wim Schoutens of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (163K PDF) -- 20 pages -- July 26, 2007 The Economic Role of Jumps and Recovery Rates in the Market for Corporate Default Risk by Paul Schneider of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, Leopold Sögner of Vienna University of Technology, and Tanja Veža of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration (636K PDF) –- 37 pages -- July 6, 2007 Modelling Default Contagion using Multivariate Phase-type Distributions by Alexander Herbertsson of Göteborg University (832K PDF) –- 35 pages -- April 16, 2007 Delayed Default Dependency and Default Contagion by B.S. Balakrishna -- Unaffiliated (169K PDF) -- 13 pages -- May 15, 2007 Capital Structure Arbitrage: Model choice and volatility calibration by Claus Bajlum of Danmarks Nationalbank & Copenhagen Business School, and Peter Tind Larsen of the University of Aarhus (573K PDF) -- 44 pages -- May 10, 2007 Implied Expected Tranched Loss Surface from CDO Data by Roberto Torresetti of Banca IMI, Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Andrea Pallavicini of Banca IMI (677K PDF) –- 13 pages -- May 8, 2007 Calibration of CDO Tranches with the Dynamical Generalized-Poisson Loss Model by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, Andrea Pallavicini of Banca IMI, and Roberto Torresetti of Banca IMI (299K PDF) -– 35 pages -- May 3, 2007 Two-Dimensional Markovian Model for Dynamics of Aggregate Credit Loss by Andrei V. Lopatin of NumeriX LLC, and Timur Misirpashaev of NumeriX LLC (584K PDF) –- 27 pages -- May 3, 2007 Pricing Tranched Credit Products with Generalized Multifactor Models by Manuel Moreno of Universidad Carlos III, Madrid, Juan Ignacio Peña of Universidad Carlos III, Madrid, and Pedro Serrano of the University of Basque Country (420K PDF) -- 44 pages -- May 2007 Risk Neutral versus Objective Loss Distribution and CDO Tranches Valuation by Roberto Torresetti of Banca IMI, Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Andrea Pallavicini of Banca IMI (213K PDF) –- 13 pages -- April 13, 2007 Valuing CDOs of Bespoke Portfolios with Implied Multi-Factor Models by Dan Rosen of the Fields Institute and R2 Financial Technologies, and David Saunders of the University of Waterloo (757K PDF) -- 38 pages -- April 5, 2007 Forward-Start CDO's, Options on CDO's, and Calibration by Michael Walker of the University of Toronto (162K PDF) -- 17 pages -- March 27, 2007 Counterparty Risk and Contingent CDS Valuation Under Correlation Between Interest-Rates and Default by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Andrea Pallavicini of Banca IMI (206K PDF) -- 17 pages -- March 22, 2007 A Semi-Analytical Parametric Model for Dependent Defaults by B.S. Balakrishna -- Unaffiliated (266K PDF) -- 29 pages -- March 21, 2007 Pricing Synthetic CDO Tranches in a Model with Default Contagion Using the Matrix-analytic Approach by Alexander Herbertsson of Göteborg University (379K PDF) -- 27 pages -- March 15, 2007 BSLP: Markovian Bivariate Spread-Loss Model for Portfolio Credit Derivatives by Matthias Arnsdorf of JP Morgan, and Igor Halperin of JP Morgan (786K PDF) –- 42 pages -- March 2007 Loss Distribution Evaluation for Synthetic CDOs by Ken Jackson of the University of Toronto, Alex Kreinin of Algorithmics, Inc., and Xiaofang Ma of the University of Toronto (213k PDF) –- 26 pages -- February 12, 2007 Valuation of Forward Starting CDOs by Ken Jackson of the University of Toronto, and Wanhe Zhang of the University of Toronto (123K PDF) –- 15 pages -- February 10, 2007 Multiscale Intensity Models for Single Name Credit Derivatives by Evan Papageorgiou of Princeton University, and Ronnie Sircar of Princeton University (413K PDF) -– 31 pages -- February 7, 2007 Idiosyncratic Risk, Systematic Risk and Stochastic Volatility: An Implementation of Merton's Credit Risk Valuation by Hayette Gatfaoui of Mont-Saint-Aignan Cedex France & the University of Technology, Sydney (1,434K PDF) –- 51 pages -- February 2007 Pricing of Credit Default Index Swap Tranches with One-Factor Heavy-Tailed Copula Models by Dezhong Wang of the University of California, Santa Barbara, Svetlozar T. Rachev of the University of Karlsruhe, and Frank J. Fabozzi of Yale University (220 K PDF) -- 34 pages -- February 2007 CDOs in Chains by Johan de Kock of Fraunhofer ITWM, Holger Kraft of the University of Kaiserslautern, and Mogens Steffensen of the University of Copenhagen (144K PDF) -– 9 pages -- January 24, 2007 Pricing Correlation-Dependent Derivatives Based on Exponential Approximations to the Hockey Stick by Ian Iscoe of Algorithmics Inc., Ken Jackson of the University of Toronto, Alex Kreinin of Algorithmics Inc., and Xiaofang Ma of the University of Toronto (178K PDF) -- 19 pages -- January 24, 2007 On Exponential Approximation to the Hockey Stick Function by Ian Iscoe of Algorithmics Inc., Ken Jackson of the University of Toronto, Alex Kreinin of Algorithmics Inc., and Xiaofang Ma of the University of Toronto (234K PDF) –- 19 pages -- January 24, 2007 CDO Valuation: Term Structure, Tranche Structure, and Loss Distributions by Michael Walker of the University of Toronto (237K PDF) -– 26 pages -- January 19, 2007 A Note on the Risk Management of CDOs by Jean-Paul Laurent of the University of Lyon & BNP Paribas (249K PDF) –- 17 pages -- January 2007 Beyond the Gaussian Copula: Stochastic and local correlation by Xavier Burtschell of BNP Paribas, Jon Gregory of Barclays Capital, and Jean-Paul Laurent of ISFA Actuarial School, University of Lyon (445K PDF) -- 27 pages -- January 2007 Modeling Defaultable Securities with Recovery Risk by Lotfi Karoui of McGill University (456K PDF) -- 52 pages -- January 2007 Lévy Simple Structural Models by Martin Baxter of Nomura International (134K PDF) -- 12 pages -- December 22, 2006 Extending Gaussian Copula with Jumps to Match Correlation Smile by Geng Xu of Wachovia Securities (192K PDF) –- 8 pages -- December 18, 2006 Distribution-Invariant Risk Measures, Entropy, and Large Deviations by Stefan Weber of Cornell University (246K PDF) -- 24 pages -- December 4, 2006 Credit Derivatives Pricing with a Smile-Extended Jump Stochastic Intensity Model by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Naoufel El-Bachir of University of Reading (655K PDF) –- 22 pages -- December 5, 2006 Background Filtrations and Canonical Loss Processes for Top-Down Models of Portfolio Credit Risk by Philippe Ehlers of ETH Zurich, and Philipp Schönbucher of ETH Zurich (268K PDF) -- 25 pages -- December 2006 Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads with the Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms by Benjamin Yibin Zhang of Fitch Ratings, Hao Zhou of the Federal Reserve Board, and Haibin Zhu of the Bank for International Settlements (376K PDF) –- 50 pages -- December 2006 Pricing Interest Rate-Sensitive Credit Portfolio Derivatives by Philippe Ehlers of ETH Zurich, and Philipp J. Schönbucher of ETH Zurich (326K PDF) -- 34 pages -- December 2006 Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk: Modeling, Measurement, and Surveillance Applications by Jorge A. Chan-Lau of the International Monetary Fund, and Andre O. Santos of the International Monetary Fund (513K PDF) -- 13 page -- December 2006 Pricing k-th-to-default Swaps Under Default Contagion: The matrix-analytic approach by Alexander Herbertsson of Göteborg University, and Holger Rootzen of Chalmers University of Technology (448K PDF) -– 27 pages -- November 27, 2006 Beyond Hazard Rates: A new framework for credit-risk modeling by Dorje C. Brody of the Imperial College, Lane P. Hughston of King's College London, and Andrea Macrina of King's College London (339K PDF) –- 27 pages -- November 2006 Valuing Credit Derivatives Using an Implied Copula Approach by John Hull of the University of Toronto, and Alan White of the University of Toronto (431K PDF) –- 41 pages -- November 2006 The Valuation of Correlation-Dependent Credit Derivatives Using a Structural Model by John Hull of the University of Toronto, Mirela Predescu of the Oxford University, and Alan White of the University of Toronto (208K PDF) –- 36 pages -- November 2006 Default and Information by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University (433K PDF) -- 23 pages -- November 2006 The Delivery Option in Credit Default Swaps by Rainer Jankowitsch of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, Rainer Pullirsch of the Bank Austria-Creditanstalt, and Tanja Veža of Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration (428K PDF) -– 33 pages -- October 18, 2006 Pricing and Hedging in the Presence of Extraneous Risks by Pierre Collin-Dufresne of the University of California Berkeley, and Julien Hugonnier of the Swiss Finance Institute and HEC Université de Lausanne (314K PDF) -- 29 pages -- October 16, 2006 Default Risk, Bankruptcy Procedures and the Market Value of Life Insurance Liabilities by An Chen of the University of Bonn Michael Suchanecki of the University of Bonn (1,409K PDF) –- 37 pages -- October 3, 2006 Correlation Expansions for CDO Pricing by Paul Glasserman of Columbia University, and Sira Suchintabandid of Columbia University (442K PDF) -- 24 pages -- May 2007 Monte Carlo Simulation of Economic Capital Requirement And Default Protection Premium by Amit Kulkarni of the National Institute of Bank Management (834K PDF) -- 35 pages -- September 20, 2006 Understanding the Role of Recovery in Default Risk Models: Empirical Comparisons and Implied Recovery Rates by Gurdip Bakshi of the University of Maryland, Dilip Madan of the University of Maryland, and Frank Zhang of the Morgan Stanley (875K PDF) –- 33 pages -- September 6, 2006 Are Corporates' Target Leverage Ratios Time-Dependent? by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Ming-Xi Huang of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (227K PDF) -– 17 pages -- September 2006 A Jump to Default Extended CEV Model: An application of Bessel processes by Peter Carr of Bloomberg & NYU Courant Institute, and Vadim Linetsky of Northwestern University (284K PDF) –- 25 pages -- September 2006 Dynamic Interactions Between Interest Rate, Credit, and Liquidity Risks: Theory and Evidence from the Term Structure of Credit Default Swap Spreads by Ren-raw Chen of Rutgers University, Xiaolin Cheng of Rutgers University, and Liuren Wu of Baruch College (338K PDF) -- 50 pages -- August 8, 2005 Credit Derivatives with Recovery of Market Value for Multiple Firms by Keiichi Tanaka of Tokyo Metropolitan University (161K PDF) -– 16 pages -- August 2006 Measuring Provisions for Collateralised Retail Lending by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Tak-Chuen Wong of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, and Po-Kong Man of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (383K PDF) – 19 pages -- July 2006 Valuation of Default Sensitive Claims Under Imperfect Information by Delia Coculescu of the Université Paris-Dauphine & ESSEC, Hélyette Geman of the Université Paris-Dauphine & ESSEC, and Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne (867K PDF) -– 35 page -- June 2006 Portfolio Losses and the Term Structure of Loss Transition Rates: A new methodology for the pricing of portfolio credit derivatives by Philipp J. Schönbucher of ETH Zürich (350K PDF) -- 27 pages -- June 2006 Yongjun, Dragon and Tangy Hong Yanz, "Macroeconomic Conditions, Firm Characteristics, and Credit Spreads", Journal of Financial Services Research, Vol. 29, No. 3, (June 2006), pp. 177-210. [Abstract] Copulas from Infinitely Divisible Distributions: Applications to Credit Value at Risk by Thomas Moosbrucker of the University of Cologne (274K PDF) –- 26 pages -- June 2006 An Implied Loss Model by Martijn van der Voort of Abn Amro Bank & Erasmus University Rotterdam (343K PDF) –- 26 pages -- May 11, 2006 Bankruptcy, Counterparty Risk, and Contagion by Holger Kraft of the University of Kaiserslautern, and Mogens Steffensen of the University of Copenhagen (424K PDF) –- 66 pages -- May 5, 2006 Levy Process Dynamic Modelling of Single-Name Credits and CDO Tranches by Martin Baxter of Nomura International, plc (91K PDF) -– 10 pages -- April 27, 2006 A New Risk Indicator and Stress Testing Tool: A Multifactor Nth-to-Default CDS Basket by Renzo G. Avesani of the International Monetary Fund, Antonio García Pascual of the International Monetary Fund, and Jing Li of the International Monetary Fund (509K PDF) –- 25 pages -- April 2006 A Dynamic Programming Approach for the Valuation of Callable Corporate Bonds within the CIR Framework by Luca Passalacqua of the Università di Roma La Sapienza (236K PDF) -- 16 pages -- March 21, 2006 Dynamic Modelling of Single-name Credits and CDO Tranches by Martin Baxter of Nomura International, plc (96K PDF) -- 9 pages -- March 20, 2006 A Dynamic Programming Approach for Pricing CDS and CDS Options by Hatem Ben-Ameur of HEC Montréal, Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Eymen Errais of Stanford University (230K PDF) -- 22 pages -- March 18, 2006 Double Exponential Jump Diffusion Process: A Structural Model of Endogenous Default Barrier with Roll-over Debt Structure by Binh Dao of the Université Paris Dauphine, and Monique Jeanblanc of the Université d'Évry (388K PDF) -- 20 pages -- March 9, 2006 Pricing CDOs with Correlated Variance Gamma Distributions by Thomas Moosbrucker of the University of Cologne (289K PDF) -- 31 pages -- February 2006 Semi-Analytical Valuation of Basket Credit Derivatives in Intensity-Based Models by Allan Mortensen of the Copenhagen Business School (322K PDF) -- 47 pages -- January 13, 2006 Pricing and Hedging of Contingent Credit Lines by Elena Loukoianova of the International Monetary Fund, Salih N. Neftci of CUNY, and Sunil Sharma of the International Monetary Fund (1,082K PDF) -- 26 pages -- January 2006 The Influence of FX Risk on Credit Spreads by Philippe Ehlers of ETH Zürich, and Philipp Schönbucher of ETH Zürich (372K PDF) -- 35 pages -- January 2006 Hedging and Asset Allocation for Structured Products by Robert Lamb of Imperial College, Vladislav Peretyatkin of Imperial College, and William Perraudin of Imperial College (161K PDF) -- 25 pages -- December 2005 Do We Need to Worry About Credit Risk Correlation? by Abel Elizalde of CEMFI & Universidad Pública de Navarra (395K PDF) –- 41 pages -- December 2005 Inflation Uncertainty, Asset Valuations, and Five Credit Risk Puzzles by Alexander David of the University of Calgary (669K PDF) -- 59 pages -- December 2005 Pricing Default Swaps: Empirical Evidence by Patrick Houweling of Erasmus University Rotterdam and Rabobank Int'l, and Ton Vorst of Erasmus University Rotterdam and ABN Amro (437K PDF) -- 26 pages -- December 2005 Structural Recovery of Face Value at Default by Rajiv Guha of CPIM, London, and Alessandro Sbuelz of University of Verona (323K PDF) -- 33 pages -- December 2005 Are European Corporate Bond and Default Swap Markets Segmented? by Didier Cossin of IMD, Lausanne, and Hongze Lu of IMD & HEC, University of Lausanne, (291K PDF) -- 39 pages -- November 28, 2005 Modeling the Term Structure of Defaultable Bonds under Recovery Risk by Lotfi Karoui of McGill University (398K PDF) -- 35 pages -- November 5, 2005 Quadratic Models for Portfolio Credit Risk with Shot-Noise Effects by Raquel M. Gaspar of Stockholm School of Economics, and Thorsten Schmidt of the University Leipzig (1,461K PDF) -- 61 pages -- November 2005 How Important Is Sovereign Risk in Determining Corporate Default Premia by Marcel Peter of Swiss National Bank, and Martin Grandes of the American University of Paris (928K PDF) –- 64 pages -- November 2005 Dynamic Copula Processes: A new way of modelling CDO tranches by Daniel Totouom of BNP Paribas, and Margaret Armstrong of École des Mines de Paris (796K PDF) -- 23 pages -- November 2005 An Incomplete-Market Model for Collateralized Debt Obligations by Michael B. Walker of the University of Toronto (227K PDF) -- 24 pages -- October 27, 2005 Benchmarking Model of Default Probabilities of Listed Companies by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Tak-Chuen Wong of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Ming-Xi Huang of the The Chinese University of Hong Kong (2,054K PDF) -- 11 pages -- September 2005 How Good is Merton Model at Assessing Credit Risk? Evidence from India by Amit Kulkarni of the National Institute of Bank Management, Alok Kumar Mishra of the National Institute of Bank Management, and Jigisha Thakker of the National Institute of Bank Management (302K PDF) -- 49 pages -- Fall 2005 Insider Trading in Credit Derivatives by Viral V. Acharya of the London Business School, and Timothy C. Johnson of the London Business School (299K PDF) -- 45 pages -- September 2005 Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads with Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms by Benjamin Yibin Zhang of Fitch Ratings, Hao Zhou of the Federal Reserve Board, and Haibin Zhu of the Bank for International Settlements (370K PDF) -- 45 pages -- September 2005 A Model of Corporate Bond Pricing with Liquidity and Marketability Risk by Pierre Tychon of the European Investment Bank, Vincent Vannetelbosch of FNRS & CORE, Université catholique de Louvain (279K PDF) -- 36 pages -- August 19, 2005 Liquidity and Credit Risk by Jan Ericsson of McGill University, and Olivier Renault of the London School of Economics (428K PDF) -- 49 pages -- July 4, 2005 Credit Default Swap Valuation with Counterparty Risk by Seng Yuen Leung of HSBC, and Yue Kuen Kwok of the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (140K PDF) -- 21 pages -- June 2005 Collateralized Debt Obligations Pricing and Factor Models: A new methodology using Normal Inverse Gaussian distributions by Dominique Guegan of the Ecole Normale Superieure, and Julien Houdain of the Ecole Normale Superieure & Fortis Investments (3,264K PDF) --29 pages -- June 2005 Credit Default Swap Prices as Risk Indicators of Large German Banks by Klaus Düllmann of Deutsche Bundesbank, and Agnieszka Sosinska of the Universität Frankfurt (467K PDF) -- 33 pages -- June 2005 Extending the Merton Model: A Hybrid Approach to Assessing Credit Quality by Alexandros Benos of the University of Piraeus, and George Papanastasopoulos University of Peloponnese (260K PDF) -- 34 pages -- June 2005 Fast and Robust Monte Carlo CDO Sensitivities and their Efficient Object Oriented Implementation by Marius Rott of DZ Bank, and Christian Fries of DZ Bank (610K PDF) -– 32 pages -- May 31, 2005 A Formula for Interest Rate Swaps Valuation under Counterparty Risk in presence of Netting Agreements by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, Massimo Masetti of Banca IMI (264K PDF) -– 31 pages -- May 4, 2005 The Pricing of Unexpected Credit Losses by Jeffery D. Amato of the Bank for International Settlements, and Eli M. Remolona of the Bank for International Settlements (254K PDF) -- 41 pages -- May 2005 Factor Copulas: Totally External Defaults by Martijn van der Voort of ABN AMRO bank and Erasmus University Rotterdam (246K PDF) –- 21 pages -- April 8, 2005 Philps, Daniel and Solomon Peters, "Expected Loss and Fair Value Over the Credit Cycle", Journal of Credit Risk, Vol.1, No. 2, (Spring 2005), pp. 35-49. [Abstract] From Default Probabilities to Credit Spreads: Credit Risk Models Do Explain Market Prices by Stefan M. Denzler of Converium Ltd., Michel M. Dacorogna of Converium Ltd., Ulrich A. Müller of Converium Ltd., and Alexander J. McNeil of Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) (408K PDF) –- 18 pages -- March 22, 2005 Estimating Structural Bond Pricing Models by Jan Ericsson of McGill University, and Joel Reneby of the Stockholm School of Economics (504K PDF) -- 29 pages -- March 2005 Eberhart, Allan C., "A Comparison of Merton's Option Pricing Model of Corporate Debt Valuation to the Use of Book Values", Journal of Corporate Finance, Vol. 11, No. 1-2, (March 2005), pp. 401-426. [Abstract] Credit Default Swap Calibration and Counterparty Risk Valuation with a Scenario based First Passage Model by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Marco Tarenghi of Banca IMI (226K PDF) -- 22 pages -- April 29, 2005 Do Major Financial Crises Provide Information on Sovereign Risk to the Rest of the World? A Look at Credit Default Swap Markets by Didier Cossin of IMD International and FAME, and Gero Jung of Fame, and the Graduate Institute of International Studies (2,778K PDF) –- 35 pages -- March 2005 Explaining the Level of Credit Spreads: Option-implied jump risk premia in a firm value model by Martijn Cremers of Yale University, Joost Driessen of the University of Amsterdam, Pascal Maenhout of INSEAD, and David Weinbaum of Cornell University (346K PDF) -– 45 pages -- February 2005 Pricing Callable Bonds with Stochastic Interest Rate and Stochastic Default Risk: A 3D Finite Difference Model by David Wang of Hsuan Chuang University (62K PDF) –- 10 pages -- February 2005 Yu, Fan, "Accounting Transparency and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads", Journal of Financial Economics, (January 2005), Vol. 75, No. 1, pp 53-84. [Abstract] An Evaluation of the Base Correlation Framework for Synthetic CDOs by Søren Willemann of the Aarhus School of Business (334K PDF) -- 25 pages -- December 20, 2004 Cyclical Correlations, Credit Contagion, and Portfolio Losses by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University, and Stefan Weber of Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (351K PDF) -- 28 pages -- December 2004 On the Equivalence of the KMV and Maximum Likelihood Methods for Structural Credit Risk Models by Jin-Chuan Duan of the University of Toronto, Geneviève Gauthier of HEC, and Jean-Guy Simonato of HEC (204K PDF) -- 19 pages -- November 30, 2004 Credit Risk Modeling and Valuation: An Introduction by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University (467K PDF) -- 67 pages -- October 24, 2004 A Comparison Between the Stochastic Intensity SSRD Model and the Market Model for CDS Options Pricing by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Laurent Cousot of Courant Institute (257K PDF) -- 28 pages -- September 12, 2004 Credit Default Swaps Calibration and Option Pricing with the SSRD Stochastic Intensity and Interest-Rate Model by Damiano Brigo of Banca IMI, and Aurélien Alfonsi of Banca IMI (257K PDF) -- 29 pages -- August 13, 2004 Double Default Correlation by Martijn van der Voort of Erasmus University Rotterdam & ABN AMRO (478K PDF) -- 26 pages -- July 17, 2004 Default Greeks Under an Objective Probability Measure by Tom E. S. Farmen of the Norwegian School of Science and Technology Management, Stein-Erik Fleten of the Norwegian School of Science and Technology Management, Sjur Westgaard of the Norwegian School of Science and Technology Management, and Nico van der Wijst of the Norwegian School of Science and Technology Management (344K PDF) -- 31 pages -- July 9, 2004 Correlated Default with Incomplete Information by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University (339K PDF) -- 25 pages -- July 2004 The Contingent Claims Approach to Corporate Vulnerability Analysis: Estimating Default Risk and Economy-wide Risk Transfer by Michael T. Gapen of the International Monetary Fund, Dale F. Gray of Macro Financial Risk Corporation and Consultant to the Macro Financial Risk Project at Moody's Investors Service, Cheng Hoon Lim of the International Monetary Fund, and Yingbin Xiao of the International Monetary Fund (925K PDF) -- 44 pages -- July 2004 A Simple Model for Credit Migration and Spread Curves by Li Chen of Princeton University, and Damir Filipović of the Federal Office of Private Insurance, Switzerland (257K PDF) -- 28 pages -- May 26, 2004 Estimating the Term Structure of Yield Spreads from Callable Corporate Bond Price Data by Antje Berndt of Cornell University (389K PDF) -- 43 pages -- April 16, 2004 Kijima, Masaaki and Yusuke Miyake, "On the Term Structure of Lending Interest Rates When a Fraction of Collateral is Recovered Upon Default", Japan Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 21, No. 1, (February 2004), pp. 35-56. [Abstract] Classification and Rating of Firms in the Presence of Financial and Non-financial Information by Thomas Mählmann of the University of Cologne (422K PDF) -- 23 pages -- February 2004 A Simple Exponential Model for Dependent Defaults by Kay Giesecke of Cornell University (213K PDF) -- 20 pages -- December 2003 Pricing the Risk of Default: Are Bonds Enough? by Daniel Gomez of the University of Lausanne, and Boris Nikolov of the University of Lausanne (467K PDF) -- 71 pages -- October 19, 2003 Jokivuolle, Esa and Samu Peura, "Incorporating Collateral Value Uncertainty in Loss Given Default Estimates and Loan-to-value Ratios", European Financial Management, Vol. 9, No. 3, Helsinki School of Economics and the Bank of Finland (September 2003), page 299. [Abstract] Basket Default Swaps, CDO's and Factor Copulas by Jean-Paul Laurent of the University of Lyon & BNP Paribas, and Jon Gregory of BNP Paribas (293K PDF) -- 21 pages -- September 2003 Pricing Vulnerable Black-Scholes Options with Dynamic Default Barriers by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Hon Chor Lee of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (664K PDF) -- 8 pages -- Summer 2003 A Unified Model for Credit Derivatives by Alain Bélanger of Scotia Capital, Steven E. Shreve of Carnegie Mellon University, and Dennis Wong of Bank of America Corporation (313K PDF) -- 40 pages -- April 16, 2003 Pricing Corporate Bonds with Dynamic Default Barriers by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Shun-Wai Tsang of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (202K PDF) -- 22 pages -- Spring 2003 Modeling Default Dependence with Threshold Models by Ludger Overbeck of Deutsche Bank AG, and Wolfgang Schmidt of Hochschule für Bankwirtschaft (229K PDF) -- 17 pages -- March 18, 2003 Modelling Dynamic Portfolio Credit Risk by Ebbe Rogge of the Imperial College of London & ABN AMRO Bank, and Philipp J. Schönbucher of EHT Zurich (379K PDF) -- 28 pages -- February 2003 An Empirical Study of Credit Default Swaps by Frank Skinner of the University of Reading, and Antonio Díaz of the Universidad de Castilla - la Mancha (233K PDF) -- 34 pages -- January 2003 Valuing Corporate Liabilities When the Default Threshold is not an Absorbing Barrier by Franck Moraux of the Université de Rennes (343K PDF) -- 37 pages -- 2003 Exploring for the Determinants of Credit Risk in Credit Default Swap Transaction Data: Is fixed-income markets information sufficient to evaluate credit risk by Daniel Aunon-Nerin of the University of Lausanne & Fame, Didier Cossin of HEC, University of Lausanne, IMD & Fame, Tomas Hricko of HEC, University of Lausanne & Fame, and Zhijiang Huang of the University of Lausanne & Fame (2,407K PDF) -- 74 pages -- December 2002 Estimation of Default Probability by Three-Factor Structural Model by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Chi Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Ming Xi Huang of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (273K PDF) -- 14 pages -- October 10, 2002 Taken to the Limit: Simple and Not-so-simple Loan Loss Distributions by Philipp J. Schönbucher of Bonn University (410K PDF) -- 23 pages -- August 2002 Optimal Default Boundary in Discrete Time Models by Agata Altieri of the Universitá di Padova, and Tiziano Vargiolu of the Universitá di Padova (212K PDF) -- 16 pages -- June 2002 Valuation Model of Defaultable Bond Values in Emerging Markets by Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, and Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (158K PDF) -- 16 pages -- June 2002 A Model for Pricing Stocks and Bonds with Default Risk by Harry Mamaysky of the Yale School of Management Downloadable via SSRN -- May 2, 2002 On Risk Neutral Pricing of CDOs by Roy Mashal of the Columbia Business School (175K PDF) -- 16 pages -- April 1, 2002 Barnhill Jr., Theodore M. and William F. Maxwell, "Modeling correlated market and credit risk in fixed income portfolios", Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 26, No. 2-3, (March 2002), pp. 347-374. [Abstract] Is Default Event Risk Priced in Corporate Bonds? by Joost Driessen of the University of Amsterdam (275K PDF) -- 48 pages -- March 2002 Pricing Multiname Credit Derivatives: Heavy Tailed Hybrid Approach by Roy Mashal of the Columbia Business School, and Marco Naldi of Lehman Brothers, Inc. (506K PDF) -- 28 pages -- January 7, 2002 Copula-Dependent Default Risk in Intensity Models by Philipp J. Schönbucher of Bonn University, and Dirk Schubert of Bonn University (299K PDF) -- 30 pages -- December 2001 Zhou, Chunsheng, "The Term Structure of Credit Spreads with Jump Risk", Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 25, No. 11, (November 2001), pp. 2015-2040. [Abstract] Pricing the Risk of Recovery in Default with APR Violation by Haluk Unal of the University of Maryland, Dilip Madan of the University of Maryland, and Levent Güntay of the University of Maryland (500K PDF) -- 41 pages -- August 3, 2001 Credit Switch by Karan Bhanot of the University of Texas (83K PDF) -- 28 pages -- July 31, 2001 On Modelling Credit Risk Using Arbitrage Free Models by Frank S. Skinner of the University of Reading, and Antonio Díaz of the Universidad de Castilla - La Mancha (369K PDF) -- 24 pages -- July 2001 Acharya, Viral V., Sanjiv Ranjan Das and Rangarajan K. Sundaram. "Pricing Credit Derivatives with Rating Transitions", Financial Analysts Journal, (May/June 2002), pp. 28-44. [Abstract] The Joint Estimation of Term Structures and Credit Spreads by Patrick Houweling of Rabobank Int'l and the University Rotterdam, Jaap Hoek of Robeco Group, Frank Kleibergen of Erasmus University Amsterdam (387K PDF) -- 27 pages -- March 21, 2001 Defaultable Security Valuation and Model Risk by Aydin Akgün of HEC, University of Lausanne (972K PDF) 59 pages -- March 2001 Hübner, Georges, "The Analytic Pricing of Asymmetric Defaultable Swaps", Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 25, No. 2, University of Liege, (Feb-2001), pp. 295-316. [Abstract] Factor Models for Portfolio Credit Risk by Philipp J. Schönbucher of Bonn University (142K PDF) -- 20 pages -- December 2000 A LIBOR Market Model with Default Risk by Philipp J. Schönbucher of Bonn University (254K PDF) -- 30 pages -- December 2000 On Default Correlation: A Copula Function Approach by David X. Li of The RiskMetrics Group (122K PDF) -- 31 pages -- April 2000 A Model for Estimating Recovery Rates and Collateral Haircuts for Bank Loans by Esa Jokivuolle of the Bank of Finland, and Samu Peura of Leonia plc (202K PDF) -- 22 pages -- March 14, 2000 A Comparative Analysis of Current Credit Risk Models by Michel Crouhy of the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Dan Galai of the Hebrew University, and Robert Mark of the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (1,585K PDF) -- 59 pages -- January 2000 Modelling European Credit Spreads by Jan Annaert of the Erasmus University Rotterdam and University of Antwerp, and Marc J.K. De Ceuster University of Antwerp – UFSIA (425K PDF) -- 56 pages -- September 1999 A Two-Factor Hazard-Rate Model for Pricing Risky Debt and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads by Dilip Madan of the University of Maryland, and Haluk Unal of the University of Maryland (1,109K PDF) -- 32 pages -- June 28, 1999 A Model of Corporate Bond Prices with Dynamic Capital Structure by Miikka Taurén of Indiana University (569K PDF) -- 51 pages -- April 19, 1999 A Comparison of Bond Pricing Models in the Pricing of Credit Risk by Miikka Taurén of Indiana University (473K PDF) -- 53 pages -- March 10, 1999 Schönbucher, Philipp J., "Term Structure Modelling of Defaultable Bonds", The Review of Derivatives Research, Vol. 2, No. 2/3 (Fall-1998), pp. 161-192. [Abstract] Leland, Hayne E., and Klaus Bjerre Toft. "Optimal Capital Structure, Endogenous Bankruptcy, and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads", Journal of Finance, Vol. LI, No. 3, University of California at Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin, (Jul-1996), pp. 987-1019. [Abstract] Estimating the price of default risk by Gregory R. Duffee of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (701K PDF) -- 43 pages -- July 1996 Duffee Gregory R., "On Measuring Credit Risks of Derivative Instruments", Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 20, No. 5, Federal Reserve Board, (June 1, 1996), pp. 805-833. [Abstract] Treasury yields and corporate bond yield spreads: An empirical analysis by Gregory R. Duffee of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (519K PDF) -- 35 pages -- May 1996 Arvanitis, Angelo, Jonathan Gregory, and Jean-Paul Laurent, "Building Models For Credit Spreads", Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 6, No. 3, (Spring 1999) pp. 27-43. [Abstract] The Direct Approach to Debt Option Pricing by Sven Rady of the London School of Economics, and Klaus Sandmann of the Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn (765K PDF) -- 29 pages -- March 22, 1995 Cossin, Didier, Hugues Pirotte, "How Well do Classical Credit Risk Pricing Models Fit Swap Transaction Data?", European Financial Management, Vol. 4, No. 1, HEC, University of Lausanne, (Mar-1998), pp. 65-77. [Abstract] Lando, David, "On Cox Processes and Credit Risky Securities", Derivatives Research, Vol. 2, (1998), pp. 99-120. [Abstract] Mahoney, James M., "Risk Management of Correlation Products", European Financial Management, Vol. 3, No. 2, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, (July 1997), pp. 155-174. [Abstract] Das, Sanjiv Ranjan. "Credit Risk Derivatives", Vol. 2, No. 3, Journal of Derivatives, (Spring 1995), pp. 7-23. [Abstract]
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