These are all the papers that have a JEL assignment (not all authors have given JEL codes to their papers) and that include the C41 classification. (sorted by date) Self-exciting Corporate Defaults
by Shahriar Azizpour of Stanford University, and
Kay Giesecke of Stanford University
(487K PDF) -- 36 pages -- May 1, 2008 Accounting-Based versus Market-Based Cross-Sectional Models of CDS Spreads
by Sanjiv R. Das of Santa Clara University,
Paul Hanouna of Villanova University, and
Atulya Sarin of Santa Clara University
(531K PDF) -- 40 pages -- November 8, 2007 Credit Rating Dynamics and Markov Mixture Models
by Halina Frydman of New York University, and
Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Pennsylvania
(412K PDF) -– 32 pages -- August 2007 Credit Risk Drivers: Evaluating the contribution of firm level information and of macroeconomic dynamics
by Diana Bonfim of Banco de Portugal
(558K PDF) -- 48 pages -- March 2007 Multi-Period Corporate Failure Prediction With Stochastic Covariates
by Darrell Duffie of Stanford University,
Leandro Saita of Stanford University, and
Ke Wang of the University of Tokyo
(482K PDF) -- 32 pages -- March 2007 Frailty Correlated Default
by Darrell Duffie of Stanford University,
Andreas Eckner of Stanford University,
Guillaume Horel of Stanford University, and
Leandro Saita of Lehman Brothers
(370K PDF) –- 50 pages -- October 19, 2006 Bank Failure Prediction: A Two-Step Survival Time Approach
by Michael Halling of the University of Vienna, and
Evelyn Hayden of the Austrian National Bank
(1,244K PDF) –- 31 pages -- May 2006 Nonparametric Estimation for Non-homogeneous semi-Markov Processes: An application to credit risk
by André Lucas of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam,
André Monteiro of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and
Georgi Smirnov of the University of Porto
(608K PDF) –- 43 pages -- March 13, 2006 Affine Model for Credit Risk Analysis
by Christian Gouriéroux of CREST & CEPREMAP & the University of Toronto,
Alain Monfort of CNAM & CREST, and
Vassilis Polimenis of the University of California
(291K PDF) -- 56 pages -- November 2005 Heterogeneity in Ratings Migration
by Ashay Kadam of the City University, London, and
Peter Lenk of the University of Michigan
(502K PDF) -- 29 pages -- October 17, 2005 On Sovereign Credit Migration: Small-sample properties and rating evolution
by Ana-Maria Fuertes of the City University London, and
Elena Kalotychou of the City University London
(621K PDF) -- 45 pages -- September 15, 2005 Equity and Bond Market Signals as Leading Indicators of Bank Fragility
by Reint Gropp at the European Central Bank,
Jukka Vesala at UniCredit Banca d.Impresa, and
Giuseppe Vulpes at Kaiserstrasse
(233K PDF) -- 34 pages -- June 2004 Time-to-Default: Life Cycle, Global and Industry Cycle Impacts
by Fabien Couderc of FAME and the University of Geneva, and
Olivier Renault of FERC, Warwick Business School
(490K PDF) -- 44 pages -- February 9, 2005 Corporate Credit Risk Modelling and the Macroeconomy
by Kenneth Carling of IFAU and Dalarna University,
Tor Jacobson of Riksbank,
Jesper Lindé of Riksbank, and
Kasper Roszbach Riksbank
(492K PDF) -- 32 pages -- December 3, 2004 Predicting and Pricing the Probability of Default
by Alessio A. Saretto of the University of California Los Angeles
(311K PDF) -- 41 pages -- August 4, 2004 Business Failure in US and UK Quoted Firms: Impact of Macroeconomic Instability and the Role of Legal Institutions
by A. Bhattacharjee of the University of Cambridge,
C. Higson of the London Business School,
S. Holly of the University of Cambridge, and
P. Kattuman of the University of Cambridge
(1,165K PDF) -- 42 pages -- March 17, 2004 Measurement, Estimation and Comparison of Credit Migration Matrices
by Yusuf Jafry of the Risk Integrated Group, and
Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(389K PDF) -- 53 pages -- March 5, 2004 Forecasting Credit Portfolio Risk
by Alfred Hamerle of the Universität Regensburg,
Thilo Liebig of Deutsche Bundesbank, and
Harald Scheule of the Universität Regensburg
(335K PDF) -- 44 pages -- February 2004 Assessing the Probability of Bankruptcy
by Stephen A. Hillegeist of Northwestern University,
Elizabeth K. Keating of Harvard University,
Donald P. Cram of California State University, and
Kyle G. Lundstedt of VaRisk, Inc.
(203K PDF) -- 30 pages -- January 2004 Metrics for Comparing Credit Migration Matrices
by Yusuf Jafry, and
Til Schuermann of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(610K PDF) -- 45 pages -- March 25, 2003 Capital Charges under Basel II: Corporate Credit Risk Modelling and the Macro Economy
by Kenneth Carling of Sveriges Riksbank,
Tor Jacobson of Sveriges Riksbank,
Jesper Lindé of Sveriges Riksbank, and
Kasper Roszbach of Sveriges Riksbank
(1,629K PDF) -- 54 pages -- September 2002 Macro Economic Instability and Business Exit: Determinants of Failures and Acquisitions of Large UK Firms
by A. Bhattacharjee of the Reserve Bank of India,
C. Higson of London Business School,
S. Holly of the University of Cambridge, and
P. Kattuman of the University of Cambridge
(736K PDF) -- 34 pages -- March 5, 2002 Lando, David, and Torben Magaard Skødeberg, "Analyzing Rating Transitions and Rating Drift with Continuous Observations", Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 26, No. 2-3, (Mar-2002), pp. 423-444. [Abstract] Analysis of Length of Time Spent in Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
by Jesus Orbe of the Universidad del Pais Vasco,
Eva Ferreira of the Universidad del Pais Vasco, and
Vicente Núñez-Antón of the Universidad del Pais Vasco
(201K PDF) -- 20 pages -- January 9, 2001 On Default Correlation: A Copula Function Approach
by David X. Li of The RiskMetrics Group
(122K PDF) -- 31 pages -- April 2000 Li, Kai, "Bayesian Analysis of Duration Models: An Application to Chapter 11 Bankruptcy", Economics Letters, Vol. 63, No. 3, (June 1999), pp. 305-312. [Abstract] The Resolution of Financial Distress
by Ronald M. Giammarino of the University of British Columbia
(256K PDF) –- 23 pages -- 1989
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